TY  - JOUR
T1  - The effect of climate change and adaptation policy on agricultural production in Eastern Africa
JO  - Ecological Economics
VL  - 121
IS  - 
SP  - 54
EP  - 64
PY  - 2016/1//
T2  - 
AU  - Kahsay, Goytom Abraha
AU  - Hansen, Lars Gårn
SN  - 0921-8009
DO  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.11.016
UR  - http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800915004486
KW  - Climate change
KW  - Adaptation policy
KW  - Eastern Africa
KW  - Agricultural production
AB  - Abstract
We estimate the production function for agricultural output in Eastern Africa incorporating climate variables disaggregated into growing and non-growing seasons. We find a substantial negative effect of within growing season variance of precipitation. We simulate predicted climate change for the region and find a resulting output reduction of between 1.2% and 4.5%. Our simulation also demonstrates substantial potential for economic benefits from mitigating the effects of within growing season precipitation variability through conventional technologies such as flexible planting and rainwater harvesting on the same scale as the potential loss from predicted climate change.
ER  -